DINAMIKA HARGA PASAR TANDAN BUAH SEGAR DI KABUPATEN DELI SERDANG SUMATERA UTARA

Abstract

Provinsi Sumatera Utara merupakan salah satu penghasil terbesar kelapa sawit di Indonesia, dimana penerimaan petani sangatlah tergantung pada Harga Tanda Buah (TBS). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk (1) mengetahui perkembangan harga tandan buah segara (TBS) Kelapa Sawit di Kabupaten Deli Serdang, (2) mengetahui kontribusi harga TBS di tingkat Nasional, Harga harga CPO dan produksi terhadap pembentukan harga TBS di pasar Deli Serdang, dan (3) mengetahui integrasi harga TBS di Tingkat Kabupaten Deliserdang dengan Harga Pasar TBS di itngkat Nasional. Menggunakan metode vector error correction model dengan data series 1994 – 2023. Hasil spesifikasi, estimasi dan pemeriksaan model diperoleh model

North Sumatra Province is one of the largest producers of palm oil in Indonesia, where farmer income is highly dependent on the Fresh Fruit Bunch (FFB) Price. This study aims to (1) determine the development of the price of fresh fruit bunches (FFB) of oil palm in Deli Serdang Regency, (2) determine the contribution of FFB prices at the national level, CPO prices and production to the formation of FFB prices in the Deli Serdang market, and (3) determine the integration of FFB prices at the Deliserdang Regency level with FFB Market Prices at the national level. Using the vector error correction model method with data series 1994 - 2023. The results of the specifications, estimation and model checks obtained the